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The role of uncertainty in infectious disease modelling

The study found that many models provided only cursory reference to the uncertainties of the information and data, or the parameters used

Research by scientists at the University of Liverpool has found that greater consideration of the limitations and uncertainties in infectious disease modelling would improve its usefulness and value.

Infectious disease dynamical modelling plays a central role in planning for outbreaks of human and livestock diseases. They forecast how they might progress and inform policy responses.

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